P311
Science will reach a point where it becomes incapable of innovation due to bureaucracy, over-specialization, and gatekeeping that excludes people like Galileo, Newton, or Einstein.

Status: Pending
Predicted
April 2025
Timeline
Near future
Category
Global Order
Confidence
Medium

What Jiang said

“So, this is the great irony of science. Science was initiated, inspired by the genius of Galileo, Newton, and Einstein. But today, science has developed to a point where it no longer welcomes Galileo, Newton, or Einstein. Why? Because Galileo is an He doesn't get along with other people. They won't let him in.”

Analysis

Jiang argues that modern scientific bureaucracy has become so specialized and gatekept that it no longer welcomes the kinds of people who drove past scientific revolutions - arrogant geniuses who don't follow rules.

Source lecture

Status history

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