Still open: waiting on events (2026-2050).
P296
Violent conflicts between demographic groups will erupt in Western nations as groups compete to set the rules of society
What Jiang said
“what's going to happen are these violent conflicts between demographic groups because each group is trying to set the rules of the game”
Analysis
As different ethnic/religious groups grow and compete for political power, violent conflicts will emerge because whichever group sets the rules wins access to jobs, status, and resources.
Status history
- 2026-05-25 · Pending (glm)
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2026-09-25 ·
Pending → Likely Confirmed
(deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
The Belfast anti-immigrant riots following a stabbing attack show real violent conflict erupting between demographic groups in a Western nation, consistent with the prediction's broad 2026-2050 window. · Source: The night Belfast burned: how the Northern Ireland race riots unfolded - The Guardian (Sat, 08 Aug 2026 07:00:00 GMT) -
2026-09-25 ·
Likely Confirmed → Pending
(rejudge:deepseek-v4.1-flash+claude-sonnet-5)
Re-checked with the date rule + auditor: auditor: A single riot triggered by one stabbing incident is one isolated event, not yet evidence of the sustained pattern of demographic-group conflict over 'setting the rules of society' that the prediction describes, so it doesn't establish even a real trend.