All predictions · Middle East

P281
GCC revenue worth trillions of dollars will be diverted to Iran after US withdrawal through compensation payments and Strait of Hormuz tolls

What Jiang said

“GCC then um exports oil to Asia and gets back food, okay? So, the GCC basically requires the Strait of Hormuz uh in order just to survive... also, hey, man, now we control the Strait of Hormuz, so if you want to um use Strait of Hormuz, you have to pay us a toll. You have to pay us a tax.”

Analysis

Once the US withdraws from the Middle East, Iran will control the Strait of Hormuz and charge tolls. GCC nations will also have to pay compensation for war damages. This diversion of trillions in revenue from the US to Iran will fund Iran's economic miracle.

Source lecture

• Game Theory #12

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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