P172
The US Iran war will last many years, possibly 10-20 years

Status: Pending
Predicted
April 2026
Timeline
2026-2046
Category
US-Iran War
Confidence
High

What Jiang said

“This war is not going to end soon. It won't be a few months. It'll probably be a few years. And quite honestly, um it may take 10 or 20 years.”

Analysis

This war will not end soon - not months but years, quite possibly 10 or 20 years as it serves America's strategic interest in controlling choke points

Source lecture

Status history

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