All predictions · Russia/Ukraine

P168
Russia will fight a war of attrition against the US Navy by arming shadow fleet tankers

What Jiang said

“And this already happening in Cuba... Russia is going to do is set up basically its own navy to challenge the American Navy and Russia cannot win against the American Navy but what it can do is fight a war of attrition against the American Navy raising cost.”

Analysis

Russia cannot match the US Navy directly but will fight asymmetrically by arming its shadow fleet oil tankers, raising the cost of American naval dominance

Source lecture

• Game Theory #21

Status history

• 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)

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