Status: Likely Confirmed
Leaning, not settled: the evidence points one way, but it is not scored yet.

P126
The AI bubble will burst because AI companies cannot make money selling their products profitably

What Jiang said

“So everyone thinks that, okay, eventually the AI bubble will burst because it doesn't make any money... they're spending too much money.”

Analysis

AI companies are investing trillions in data centers but ChatGPT and similar products don't generate actual profits. The money flows in a circle between tech giants. Only government surveillance contracts can sustain it.

Status history

  • 2026-05-23 · Pending (glm)
  • 2026-06-27 · Pending → Likely Confirmed (glm)
    A cluster of major financial outlets now frame the AI bubble as 'on the verge of popping' or 'burst in progress' within a two-week window, and headline 4 directly supports the prediction's stated mechanism (AI costs breaking corporate budgets), but no burst has actually occurred — window still open. · Source: Trillion-Dollar AI Bubble On Verge Of Popping? - CleanTechnica (Wed, 24 Jun 2026 11:00:29 GMT)

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