Still open: waiting on events (During the war).
P106
US arming of ethnic insurgents (Kurds, Baloch, Azaris) will backfire — galvanizes Persian nationalism
What Jiang said
“When you turn the other minorities against the Iranians, then the Persian people have to come together and remember their history, celebrate their identity. And this is the key, okay? Once the Persian people are able to activate their long-lasting memories, go back in the past and remember the greatness, they come together as an energetic, open, and cohesive society.”
Analysis
Law of Asymmetry: when US turns minorities against Persians, it activates dormant Persian national identity (suppressed by theocracy). 'Once the Persian people are able to activate their long-lasting memories, go back in the past and remember the greatness, they come together as an energetic, open, and cohesive society.'
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Pending (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)