Still open: waiting on events (After Erdogan).
P068
Turkey will collapse as a nation-state after Erdogan leaves power
What Jiang said
“Once he's gone, then all these ethnic tensions, these geopolitical tensions, these economic tensions that exist in Turkey will explode and it will overwhelm Turkey, thus causing it to collapse um as a nation state.”
Analysis
Erdogan is the only force keeping Turkey's ethnic, geopolitical, and economic tensions from exploding.
Status history
- 2026-05-22 · Imported into the tracker as Pending (bulk import — the status it already had, not the date it was decided)